The results of Delhi elections will have an impact on Bihar, all political parties are busy making strategies

New Delhi. Assembly elections in Delhi have been completed. After defeating the opposition in Delhi, NDA has roared for the next battlefield. The next battle is going to be on the soil of Bihar. Congress has also focused on Bihar. Under this, when voting was going on in Delhi on February 5, Rahul Gandhi reached Patna on a day-long tour. This was his second Bihar visit in 18 days. By making several announcements for Bihar in the Union Budget, NDA has already made its intentions clear for the Bihar mission. Apart from this, Prime Minister Narendra Modi can also visit Bihar on February 24. It is being told that PM will inaugurate some development projects in Bihar and address a Kisan Sabha. But just campaigning is not enough to win the election. Strategy is the most important to win the election. The result of Delhi assembly elections is going to have an impact on all the political parties of Bihar. Let us see who is going to work on which strategy to achieve the magic number of 225 seats out of 243 seats of Bihar?

1-What is the crisis for RJD?
Elections are likely to be held in Bihar in November this year. The biggest plus point for RJD is that there is tremendous anti-incumbency in the state. But the problem is whether RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav will be able to capitalize on it. Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has sounded the war cry to enter the fray for a historic fifth term. Now it remains to be seen what Tejashwi Yadav does to take advantage of the anti-incumbency wave of two decades. Because BJP is in alliance with its ally JDU and is considered to be in a stronger position than the Mahagathbandhan which includes Congress and Left parties. After winning tough elections in Maharashtra, Haryana and Delhi, the morale of NDA is high.

Actually, the problem with RJD is that it has suffered losses in the last assembly elections by giving more seats to Congress than it needed. Technically, after the fate in Delhi, Congress should not demand more seats in Bihar. But if Congress contests the elections separately, then the way Arvind Kejriwal and Aam Aadmi Party have suffered losses in Delhi, RJD can also suffer the same losses in Bihar. In the 2020 Bihar elections, Congress contested on 70 seats, but could win only 19 seats, while RJD emerged as the largest party by winning 80 out of 144 seats.

2- Will Congress continue its Delhi journey?
The way Congress has focused on its vote bank without worrying about its loss in Delhi, is it going to do the same in Bihar as well? The way Congress is seen changing its strategy, it seems that Congress can contest the elections alone in Bihar too. Congress has understood that if it wants to bring back its old days, then the parties which were born and grew on the votes of Congress will have to be finished first. For this, Congress has accepted that it will not play its own band in the attempt to stop BJP. If Congress adopts the strategy of Delhi, then it is certain to be difficult for RJD and Left parties. The way Rahul Gandhi had called the caste census of Bihar fake at Lalu family’s house during his Bihar visit last month, it seems that Congress can adopt its own path here. It is worth noting that Tejashwi Yadav has been taking the credit for conducting the first caste survey in Bihar. But Rahul Gandhi went to his house to eat curd and chuda and showed the mirror to Lalu family.

3- Will JDU consider BJP as its elder brother?
The effect of the results of Delhi elections can be seen in the seat sharing in NDA as well. After three consecutive victories, BJP can demand more seats in NDA. In the 2020 assembly elections, JDU contested on 115 seats and won only 43 seats, while BJP won 74 out of 110 seats. This is a strong argument for BJP. But Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has proved his acceptability in both the alliances despite fewer seats. This is the reason why BJP is unable to separate Nitish Kumar even if it wants to. But it is certain that this time BJP will demand more seats. The Indian Express writes on the basis of its sources that JDU is also not going to agree to fewer seats in seat sharing. Because it had performed better than BJP in last year’s Lok Sabha elections. Then both the parties had won 12-12 seats, but JDU’s strike rate was better.

4-Everyone will keep an eye on Nitish Kumar’s strategy
There are frequent speculations about Nitish Kumar’s health. But the way he has started traveling for the last 2 months is surprising. On 23 December 2023, he started the Pragati Yatra, under which he is touring the entire state. Apart from this, he is also running different campaigns like ‘Nari Shakti Rath Yatra’ and ‘Karpoori Rath Yatra’ to woo special groups. JDU is also taking out ‘Ambedkar Rath Yatra’, which is trying to establish a dialogue with Dalits by covering all the districts. Similarly, ‘Minority Rath’ is also being run to woo Muslims.

The weakening of the India Alliance is going to be very beneficial for Nitish Kumar.