Exit Poll Results Spring Surprises: BJP Dominates in Bengal, Wave of Regime Change in Kerala; Check Predictions for All States

New Delhi: The results of exit polls for the assembly elections held in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala, and Puducherry have been released. These initial exit poll estimates provide a rough indication of how the various political parties are likely to perform, well in advance of the official vote counting scheduled for May 4.

Bengal Predictions
Results from six exit polls regarding West Bengal have been released. Five of these polls predict the formation of a BJP government, while one predicts a TMC government. The Matrize exit poll estimates that the TMC will secure between 125 and 140 seats, while the BJP is projected to win between 146 and 161 seats. Chanakya Strategy has predicted that the TMC will win 130 to 140 seats, and the BJP will secure 150 to 160 seats. People’s Pulse has projected that the TMC will win between 177 and 187 seats, while the BJP is expected to secure 95 to 110 seats.

Praja Poll has predicted that the TMC will win between 85 and 110 seats, while the BJP is projected to secure 178 to 200 seats. The P-MARQ exit poll assigns 118 to 138 seats to the TMC, and 150 to 175 seats to the BJP. Poll Diary has projected that the TMC will win between 99 and 127 seats, while the BJP is expected to secure 142 to 171 seats.

Assam: 8 Exit Polls—All Predict a BJP Return
Axis My India has predicted that the BJP will win between 88 and 100 seats, while the Congress is projected to secure 24 to 36 seats. Matrize has assigned 85 to 95 seats to the BJP and 25 to 32 seats to the Congress. People’s Pulse has projected 68 to 72 seats for the BJP and 22 to 26 seats for the Congress. P-Mark has projected 82–94 seats for the BJP and 30–40 seats for the Congress.

JVC has estimated 88–101 seats for the BJP and 23–33 seats for the Congress. Chanakya Strategy has predicted that the BJP will secure 88–98 seats, while the Congress will get 22–32 seats. Poll Diary has estimated 86–101 seats for the BJP and 15–26 seats for the Congress. Vote Vibe has projected 90–101 seats for the BJP and 23–33 seats for the Congress.

Exit Poll Results in Kerala
According to the startling figures from the ‘Axis My India’ exit poll, a wave of political change appears to be sweeping through Kerala this time, with the Congress-led UDF alliance projected to secure between 78 and 90 seats. If these figures prove accurate, the people of Kerala have once again upheld their long-standing tradition by handing the keys to power to the opposition alliance.

On the other hand, these trends could prove quite disappointing for the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) alliance, which was dreaming of forming the government for a third consecutive term. Meanwhile, the path does not appear any easier this time for the BJP-led NDA in the state, with estimates suggesting they will secure a mere 0 to 3 seats. According to the People’s Insight exit poll, the UDF could win 66–76 seats in Kerala, the LDF 58–68 seats, the BJP 10–14 seats, and ‘Others’ 0–1 seat.

DMK+ Projected to Win 120–140 Seats in Tamil Nadu
According to estimates by People’s Insight, the DMK+ alliance in Tamil Nadu is projected to win 120–140 seats, the AIADMK+ alliance 60–70 seats, and the TVK 30–40 seats. ‘Others’ are estimated to secure between 0 and 4 seats. BJP Set to Win 16 to 20 Seats in Puducherry: Axis My India According to the Axis My India exit poll, it appears that the BJP is poised to form the government in Puducherry once again. In this region, the BJP is projected to secure 16 to 20 seats, the Congress 6 to 8 seats, and other parties are expected to win between 3 and 7 seats.